Beating John to it after his response to my "more on ambition and lightbulbs" post, I herewith agree to where his thoughts are taking him, to technological vs. procedural issues.
(Hey, John, get your comments and trackback up now, easier to keep the discussion in one place :)
The Walkman - technological twists to known stuff, but a completely new way to listen to music. Procedural if you want.
The car - wheels, gears, whatnot, was all there for Mr. Daimler to put together, obviously with a few little technological solutions to make them work in unison.
But the real breakthrough, the real user value, came with new uses that were not available to the horse and carriage crowd; the trips to grandmother on Sunday, family outings, motels and fast food. That I would add to the procedural innovation category.
The lightbulb - technological of course. But nevertheless a hugely procedural change before it was useful. Dare I mention generating plants, grids, soccer games at night...
The aeroplane - wings were a technological breakthrough, but wide use required a shift in thinking and habits, more of the procedural stuff.
PC - technological innovation level as for the Walkman, adding known components in new ways, sorting out an few bottlenecks with new technology, but heaven knows, it was the procedural changes that made it roar.
The assembly line - almost all procedural this time, not much breakthrough technology. Even though Mr Ford lowered the number of hours spent on a car from 70 to 7 in six months. That's what I'd call important stuff.
For me, the procedural changes is the "innovation", the technological solutions merely enablers.
That's where I humbly disagree with John's conclusion - "look for a technological game-changer before you go for a procedural one".
I think it should be the other way around if you're ambitious - change-the-game is in the procedural, that is where the innovation truly lies, that should be the focus point. That is what one should "look" for.
Then you can attack the practical barriers and apply a dash of technological innovation :)
A "procedural" innovation generally leads to either a technological breakthrough (by establishing a need, or "itch to scratch") OR (most often?) leads to a previously-unrealised use for an existing technology - how many times have we seen a technological breakthrough that appeared relatively useless albeit interesting, until somebody recognised a new possibility to change the procedure as a result?
I think I'm agreeing with you, Sig ...
BTW - that's a particularly smug look on your face in the new photo - you were thinking how much it would upset Doug and I weren't you?
Posted by: Ric | December 21, 2005 at 07:58
Ric, precisely!
Actually I should have added that "to find a real opportunity one must understand and focus on the procedural issues, the technological innovation being merely a necessity".
The discussion started after all with ambitions...
Absolutely, climbing for a couple of hours just to make an annoying portrait - how could I not gloat? :D
BTW, it was about minus10 degrees C but sun and absolutely no wind - perfect!
Posted by: sig | December 21, 2005 at 09:00
Sig,
I almost agree with you, except I would argue that many of those making the technological discoveries had in mind different procedural changes than the ones that actually had the greatest impact due to their technological breakthrough.
Intending to change the procedural is a good idea, but the enabler is the technological breakthrough. I see the elevator-to-orbit crowd as in this boat. They know what they want to change about getting to orbit (using a re-usable space elevator as opposed to rockets, spaceplanes, etc), but the key issue is the technology does not yet exist - and (critically) may never.
At least if one has developed a technological breakthrough one is free to explore procedural consequences - the opposite is rarely true.
Posted by: Angus McDonald | February 20, 2006 at 03:26
Angus, you're completely right of course.
One thing we tend to forget is the often substantial time-lag from the enabling technology became available until they were put into (different) service helping procedural changes. Assembly line and "walkman" type devices are good examples.
Suspect the gentlemen behind those saw the procedural change opportunity first, then looked around for suitable technology - that existed given a few tweaks and a couple of add-on technical solutions.
Still I think history shows that it is in the procedural changes the big money lies - thus the subheader about "ambitions" :)
Posted by: sig | February 20, 2006 at 08:41